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Our top "stash" pick:
- MLB: New York Mets
Our picks for all props:
- Soccer: Southhampton Win
- Southhampton has some impressive wins lately at home. They beat Manchester City 3 - 1, Liverpool 3 - 1, and Chelsea 2 - 1, all since early February. The last time these two played at West Ham, West Ham won 4 - 1. That match was clear back in October though. Southampton may be missing a couple key players, and these teams share very similar table position, goals for, goals against, etc., so the match may end in a draw, but it's hard to ignore Southhampton's home form lately. I'm sure it will be close though.
- Confidence: 50%
- Golf: Par (3)
- Bubba shot a par in round 1 and a birdie in round 2 on this hole. What will he shoot in round 3? I think most likely par, but who knows.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: Boston Red Sox
- The line for this game is Boston -117, which are not super high odds. The Rays have had success in Fenway Park against Lester, winning the last 4 matchups against him. However, the Red Sox bullpen has had a chance to rest and regroup from the 2 losses they cost their team againt the Orioles, and Lester has clearly been the better pitcher so far this season. He is 2 - 0 with a 1.50 ERA and 13 Ks over 12 innings. Price (8.18 ERA) on the other hand, got rocked in his only start of this season, giving up 8 earned runs and 10 hits in just 5 innings
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: San Francisco Giants
- This should be another close game between these two, but probably a lot lower scoring, as Bumgarner and Samardzija take the mound. These two pitchers have awesome numbers. Both are among the best in WHIP and have gone the most number of innings in their starts. Bumgarner has a 1.32 ERA as opposed to Samardzija's 2.63 though, so I'm going with the Giants in a close one. Hopefully the Giants' bullpen doesn't cost them another game.
- Confidence: 50%
- Golf: Par (5)
- This 14 year old young man from China has done very well for his first Masters tournament. He parred this hole in both round 1 and round 2. I don't know why he shouldn't get par in round 3 also.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: 4 or more birdies
- This is a tough pick because Tiger recorded exactly 3 birdies in rounds 1 and 2. He needs to up the ante in this round though if he hopes to reach the leader, and getting birdies is the way to do that (or not shoot bogeys, which he has had a few over the 2 rounds).
- Confidence: 55%
- NHL: Buffalo Sabres
- Both of these teams are really fighting for playoff position. Being that this game is in Buffalo and that the Sabres are a little closer to achieving a post-season spot, I'll take my chances with the Sabres.
- Confidence: 50%
- Golf: Par (3)
- Gosh these golf props are tossups. Fowler shot a par in round 1 and a birdie in round 2. Your guess is as good as mine for round 3. All I know is Mickelson ruined a ton of streaks with his bogey in a similar prop yesterday.
- Confidence: 50%
- LAX: Maryland wins by 3+ goals
- Johns Hopkins have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They started the season well, but have tanked over the last few weeks and are now ranked #15. Maryland is the #1 team, and since they're at home for this game, I like Maryland even more to cover the spread here.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Detroit Tigers
- The Tigers jumped out to a 3 - 0 lead last night thanks to Prince Fielder, but they couldn't hold it, and lost 4 - 3 in 12 innings. Their bullpen continues to struggle to win games. Luckily for Detroit, they have Justin Verlander on the mound today. He has had great success against Oakland, posting a 0.49 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. Anderson has also had success against Detroit, but Verlander is definitely the better pitcher, and the Tigers shouldn't lose 2 straight.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Baltimore Orioles
- If you haven't seen highlights of the Yankees' triple play against the Orioles last night, you should go check it out. Adam Jones missing the catch on the fly ball should make "not top plays" on sports center. I think the Orioles rebound today and get the win. Hammel (1 -1, 4.97ERA) has fared much better than Phil Hughes (0 - 1, 6.75 ERA).
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: New York Mets
- The Mets just embarrassed the Twins yesterday, winning 16 - 5, in thanks in large part to John Buck, who had a grand slam, and is batting .351 with 6 homers this season. Matt Harvey has also been pitching great for the Mets, winning his first two starts and has a 0.64 ERA. I would be totally shocked if the Mets lose this game. The Mets are favored -122.
- Confidence: 80%
- Golf: 7 strokes or fewer
- Hole 12 is a par 3 and hole 13 a par 5. For these two holes combined, Tiger shot a 7 in round 1 and an 8 in round 2. I really think he's likely to birdie hole 13 again, as it is one of the easiest par 5's to birdie, so barring anything crazy happening (such as him hitting the flag pole and the ball bouncing into the water), 7 or under should be good to go.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: 6 strokes
- Schwartzel shot a 3 on both rounds on this hole. McIlroy shot a 3 in round 1 and a 2 in round 2. I think 6 is the most likely option, but these golf props have been so unpredictable.
- Confidence: 50%
- Soccer: Club Tijuana win or draw
- In their last 3 head-to-head matchups, they have drawn twice, those two draws being their matchups from last season. These teams are about middle of the table and are separated by 2 teams. The odds are pretty even as well, so it seems that the draw is the most likely option here.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: 10 or more
- Wow, another tossup pick. Day shot a birdie in round 1 and a par in round 2 on this hole. Couples shot a par in both rounds. Statistically, the par far outweighs any other score for this hole, so if they each par that would 10 strokes. It might go birdie-par though and then 9 or less would win. Pick at your own risk.
- Confidence: 50%
- NHL: New York Islanders
- The Rangers have won 2 and the Islanders 1 of the regular season meetings between these two. These teams match up really well, and in all honesty, either team could win. I think the Islanders have the slight edge since they are at home.
- Confidence: 50%
- NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs
- The Canadiens have already clinched a playoff spot. The Leafs are still fighting for one, and are at home, which should give them the edge in this game. The Leafs are 10-2-3 in their last 15, while the Canadiens are 13-4-2 in their last 19 road games.
- Confidence: 50%
- Other: Quinipiac
- I don't know much about college hockey, but I'll take the #1 team to win the championship.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Kansas City Royals
- The Royals lost last night 8-4, but they have a better matchup today, and should win. They face R.A. Dickey, who is 0-2 with a 8.44 ERA. The Blue Jays are also without Jose Bautista to an ankle injury. The Royals will send James Shields to the mound, who they acquired from Tampa Bay in the offseason. He is 1-1 with a 3.75ERA this season.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies
- The Marlins are the worst team in baseball. I'm sure they're desperate for a win, but unfortunately it won't come tonight against the Phillies. Especially not with Cole Hamels at the mound.
- Confidence: 70%
- Soccer: FC Dallas Win
- Dallas has won every game they have played at home. They lead their division table with 13 points and a 4-1-1 record. Los Angeles has only played at home so far this season in MLS action., mostly draws. They are third in the division table. This could definitely end in a draw, but I like Dallas to squeak out a win.
- Confidence: 60%
- NBA: Memphis Grizzlies
- The line for this game is Memphis -3. Both of these teams are jockeying for home court advantage come playoffs time. The Grizzlies are 31 - 8 at home, and haven't lost there since February 5. The Clippers are 22 - 17 on the road. Billups is out for the Clippers, and the Grizzlies have no major injuries.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Arizona Diamnondbacks
- The Diamondbacks have won 3 straight and 11 of 13 overall against the Dodgers, and Kennedy is a better pitcher than Ryu. Diamondbacks win.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Colorado Rockies
- Rockies won last night, and should have success against the Padres again tonight. Volquez for the Padres is 0-2 with a woeful 10.00ERA. Meanwhile, J. Chacin of the Rockies is 1 - 0 with a 1.35 ERA
- Confidence: 70%
- NHL: Anaheim Ducks
- Ducks are playing better, have a better record, and just beat the Kings on Sunday. This really could go either way though. I wouldn't risk a high streak on this.
- Confidence: 60%
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