Our top "stash" pick:
- NBA: Chicago Bulls
Our picks for all props:
- Golf: Nick Watney or tie
- This prop is for holes 1 - 9, these players' first holes of the day. Yesterday, Watney shot a +3 and Stricker a +4 on these holes. While they most likely won't have such a horrible start this next round, I don't think Stricker will overtake Watney. Subsequent rounds of golf can be very different though, and the tie option has not been winning these 9 hole props much lately, so keep that in mind.
- Confidence: 60%
- Soccer: CSKA Moscow Win
- In the Russian Premier League table CSKA Moscow currently holds an 8 point lead at the top. Their opponent in today's match, Dynamo Moscow is in 5th place in the table, 17 points behind the leader. These two teams play in the same city, so there will be a familiarity between the two sides. Earlier this season, Dynamo beat CSKA, giving them one of their only 4 losses this season. But that was back in September and CSKA has won 5 straight going into this match. I expect them to get the revenge on their cross-town rival.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: Adam Scott or tie
- Both Scott and Garcia scored par on all of these holes in round 1. These three holes have a high average of par, and that is the most likely option. Garcia shot 3 better than Scott for the entire round, but over just holes, the tie option seems like the best choice.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: Par (3)
- Mickelson recorded a birdie (2) on this hole in round 1, thanks to an awesome tee shot. There were actually a good number of birdies on this hole overall. I don't expect Mickelson to birdie again, as the hole and tee placements will most likely be different for this round.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Chicago Cubs
- I am not super confident in this pick, but the main reason I'm making it is that Matt Cain has not been good for the Giants so far this year. In his first start, he went 6 innings, with 8Ks, 4 hits and a walk, but the Giants lost 4 - 0. In his second start, he got shelled against the Cardinals, giving up 9 earned runs and 7 hits, with only 2 Ks. Now Cain won't be that bad all season, but the Cubs almost won yesterday, and as this is a home game for them, I think the Cubs might win this one.
- Confidence: 50%
- Golf: 6 Strokes
- These two each scored par (3) on this hole in round 1. You might want to see how they are doing on previous holes of the round to get a sense of how they're playing, but par on this hole seems pretty likely for these guys.
- Confidence: 70%
- Golf: Any Other Score
- Bubba shot par (3) and Poulter had a birdie on this hole in round 1. A ton of people (including us) just lost taking par for Mickelson on this hole (he double bogeyed). This hole seems to be playing tougher than yesterday. You might want to see how they are doing on previous holes of the round to get a sense of how they're playing, but I think the result for these guys will be over par.
- Confidence: 70%
- Golf: Birdie (4)
- Tiger shot a birdie on this hole in the last round, and I don't see any indication that he shouldn't get the same result. Par would be much more likely than eagle for any other result to win.
- Confidence: 70%
- Golf: No, No Birdie from Group on 18th
- No one from this group birdied this hole in round 1. Fowler got par, while Day and Harrington both bogeyed the hole. I think the no option is fairly safe.
- Confidence: 70%
- NHL: St. Louis Blues
- The Blues have been on fire lately, winning their last 6 straight. They have won 10 of the last 12 against the Blue Jackets. They have had so much success thanks to their stellar goalie, Brian Elliot, and it's a little concerning that they will be starting their rookie goalie, Jake Allen, but they should still win this game.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Cleveland Indians
- There are some interesting stats for this game. The Indians haven't lost their first 3 games at home since 1996, and the White Sox haven't lost their first four on the road since 1978. Still, with the line at -150 for the Indians at home, and them having Justin Masterson at the mound, the odds are definitely in Cleveland's favor. Masterson (0.69 ERA) has been extremely dominant in his first two starts, pitching a total of 13 innings, while recording 13 Ks and only giving up 1 earned run and 5 hits. Quintana (11.25 ERA) on the other hand, only has one start, going just 4 innings while giving up 5 earned runs and 8 hits.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: New York Yankees
- Both of the pitchers for this game have done well so far this season, but Sabatthia has been the better of the two. The line for this game opened at -145 but has since moved to -155, and with the Yankees at home with C.C. on the mound, all signs point to a Yankees victory.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Cincinnati Reds
- The current line for this game is Pittsburgh -110, which slightly favors Pittsburgh but not by much. I have to say the Reds win this one though. The Pirates are hoping to have some luck and win some games at home, but their offense has been truly awful. Only Miami has fewer runs scored than Pittsburgh in the major leagues. Both of these pitchers are solid, but especially if Cincinnati gets a big lead early, the game is essentially over because the Pirates just don't have enough offense.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Washington Nationals
- Detwiler has clearly been the better pitcher so far this season, the Nationals are -135 and are at home. That's good enough for me.
- Confidence: 60%
- NHL: Ottawa Senators
- The Senators have won both games againt the Devils this season in shootouts, and their goalie Craig Anderson is 4 - 1 - 0 with a 1.78 GAA vs the Devils in his last five starts against them. The Devils are still without Ilya Kovalchuck, their leading forward due to injury, and are also missing a couple of other defensive players. They have lost 8 straight, and although they really need to win this game to have any shot at the playoffs, I highly doubt they get the win tonight.
- Confidence: 70%
- NBA: Chicago Bulls
- The Bulls just knocked off the Knicks at home in overtime and now travel to Toronto, a team they lost to at home a few days ago. The Bulls are fighting for home-court advantage in the playoffs, and the Raptors have no shot at making the playoffs. The line is dead even on this game, but I'm taking the Bulls to get revenge for the loss to the Raptors on their own home floor.
- Confidence 70%
- MLB: Miami Marlins
- You may think I'm crazy for this pick, but if the Marlins are going to win any game in this series, I think this will be the one. They are definitely the worst team in baseball, but they won't go winless forever, and I just they they finally get a win at home. The line is only Phillies -109, which indicates they aren't big favorites.
- Confidence: 40%
- NBA: Houston Rockets
- This game, on paper, is a toss-up if I have ever seen one. The Grizzlies are a better team with a better overall record. The Rockets play well at home and are fighting for positioning in the west to avoid having to play either OKC or SAS in the first round. The Grizzlies too are fighting to ensure they get home court in the first round. Both teams have won 7 of their last 10 games. Neither team has a major injury going into the game. I really don't have any one stat to point out as to why one team will beat the other. So far in their previous 3 games, they are on serve, each team having won on their home floor, as for this reason, I have to pick the Rockets at home.
- Confidence 50%
- MLB: Kansas City Royals
- The Royals are on a roll and are at home for this game. Toronto's pitchers have been a major flop so far, with the exception of J.A. Happ, who is starting for this game. I think the Royals take this one, but my lose one or two of the series. The line is only Royals -108, so it wouldn't be a huge surprise to me if the Blue Jays ended up winning.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: St. Louis Cardinals
- Kyle Lohse returns to St. Louis to face his former team tonight. He has been the one bright spot in the Brewers' pitching rotation. His former teammates, especially Carlos Beltran are very familiar with him and hit well off him though. This fact and that the line is Cardinals -136 make the Cardinals a solid pick. If the Brewers have one advantage, it is that they are rested, since their last two games were canceled due to inclement weather.
- Confidence: 70%
- NBA: Denver Nuggets
- Unlike the Rockets/Grizzlies game above, this game on the other hand seems pretty clear cut. Denver has been one of the hottest teams since the All Star break and Dallas has been a below .500 team all season. The Mavs don't have any hope of making the playoffs. The Nuggets won both of their meetings earlier this season and should get the sweep tonight.
- Confidence 60%
- NBA: Yes both the Jazz and Lakers win
- The Jazz win against the Timberwolves should be locked down. The Lakers should also beat Golden State who does have a better record than them but has historically struggled against LA. The Warriors are also playing the second-leg of a back-to-back. Plus, the major key to this game is Kobe. That man will score 50 points himself if he has to, he will do whatever is necessary, even choke one of the Warriors stars if they get hot, just as long as the Lakers make the playoffs. Nothing else matters to Kobe. If the Jazz lose and the Lakers win, you can pretty much give the 8th spot to LA, but that's why I think both teams win tonight.
- Confidence 60%
- NHL: Phoenix Coyotes
- The Coyotes have not had great success on the road, especially at Calgary, but they have won 4 straight and need every win they can get to secure a playoff spot. They come into this game extremely motivated and hopefully get the win tonight.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: Detroit Tigers
- The A's are off to their best start in years. They are 8 - 2 and have recorded 97 hits over their last 8 games. The Tigers are hitting the ball very well too though, recording 42 hits over their last 3 games. The line is Detroit -102, so it's pretty much dead even. The main reason I like Detroit in this one is that Barotolo Colon has not had a win against the Tigers in almost 10 years! Will history be made tonight?
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Texas Rangers
- Who can forget how close Yu Darvish came to a perfect game in his first start of the season? He has pitched very well, and the Rangers are hitting the ball very well also. Darvish has struggled at Safeco Field, but with the Rangers hitting so well and the Mariners missing a couple of key players, I think Darvish and the Rangers get a coveted win on the road. The line is the Rangers -133.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Colorado Rockies
- The Rockies just got swept by the Giants and should get back to wining ways against the Padres, a team they swept at home earlier this month. With some Padres players likely facing suspension for this game after yesterday's ridiculous brawl, the Rockies should have an even easier time winning. The line is Padres -108, but I'm not buying it.
- Confidence: 60%
tiger shot par 5 on hole 15 yesterday
ReplyDeleteYes you're right. For some reason I thought it was hole 13. My bad. Thanks for the heads up!
ReplyDelete