Sunday, April 14, 2013

SFTC picks for Sunday, April 14

Well it has been a crazy weekend with lots of upsets.  We've picked some of the upsets and lost some as well.  I've also been really busy with school work and such, so these last couple of posts have come late at night when my thinking is not the clearest.  I noticed there were a few errors on our last post, and I have since fixed them.  Once again it is late, so I did not have time to do full write-ups for all of our picks, but I did research them all.

We thank everyone for the support and hope you will continue to share our site with your friends!  We also encourage you to vote on the new poll question.

We also remind you that our Beat the Streak picks can be found on our Baseball Games site (click on the tab above).  Hopefully tomorrow we'll get the basketball site updated with all of the results from the tournament-based games.  

Good luck with your picks today!

Our top "stash" pick:
  1. MLB:  Boston Red Sox

Our picks for all props:
  1. Soccer:  Newcastle United Win
    • Sunderland have only won at Newcastle in 3 of their last 16 trips there.  They are also plagued by injuries and have not been in great form recently as a result.  Their main motivation for winning this match is to avoid relegation.  With Sunderland having so many injuries, I can't see picking against Newcastle, who are favorites at 1.95, to win at home.
    • Confidence: 70%
  2. Soccer:  Manchester City Advances
    • City are favored at 2.63 to win.  Chelsea are wearing thin.  One evidence of this fact is their inability to maintain the lead and secure the win at Rubin Kazan a few days ago.  City are rested and fresh, and are looking in great form right now.
    • Confidence: 60%
  3. NHL:  Chicago Blackhawks
    • The Blackhawks have already clinched their division title and now are trying to stay atop of Anaheim for the West's #1 overall seed come playoffs time.  The Blue's goalie is seeking his fourth consecutive shutout and their coach is seeking his 600th win.  It would be nice to see history be made on both accounts, but I don't think it comes against the Blackhawks today.
    • Confidence: 60%
  4. Soccer:  Puebla Win
    •  To be honest, I know nothing about the Mexican Premier League.  Yesterday, what looked a pretty solid draw pick ended up losing by a pretty big margin.  Puebla has the better record, and over the last several head to head matches, the home team has won nearly every time.  I wouldn't put much of a streak on this at all though.
    • Confidence:  40%
  5. MLB:  Chicago White Sox
    • The White Sox are the only team in MLB that have not yet won on the road.  However, they have not started a season 0 - 6 on the road since 1968.  Myers (12.19 ERA) got shelled by the Yankees in his last start for the Indians, giving up 7 runs and 11 hits, mainly due to his leaving the ball out over the plate and not locating his pitches well.  If he does it again this game, Chicago will take advantage, as they have scored 22 of their 39 runs this season off of homers.  Peavy (5.56 ERA) on the other hand has been very solid in his starts. The White Sox are the favorites at -115.  
    • Confidence: 60%
  6. MLB:  Philadelphia Phillies
  7. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
  8. MLB:  Boston Red Sox
  9. Golf:  8 Strokes
    • Clark shot a 4 on this hole in all 3 previous rounds.  Woods shot a 4 in rounds 1 and 2 and a 3 in round 3.  I'd say 8 strokes has the best chance of winning based on the previous results.
    • Confidence: 70%
  10. MLB:  San Francisco Giants
  11. Golf:  Any Other Country
    • Most of the top leaders are not Americans.  The overall leader is, but there are a bunch right with him, namely Cabrera, Scott, Leishman, Day, and Clark are not.  Most of these have consistently at the top of the leaderboard, so it seems unlikely that an American will come from behind, and I don't think Snedeker can stay at the top.
    • Confidence: 60%
  12. Golf:  Yes at least one player bogeys the par 3 4th
    • Leishman bogeyed this hole in each of the last 2 rounds.  Scott bogeyed in round 2.  Total, that's 3 bogeys and 3 pars between these two on this hole.  Since the bogeys have come in the later rounds of the tournament, I'm picking yes here.
    • Confidence: 50%
  13. NBA:  Brooklyn Nets
  14. MLB:  Detroit Tigers
  15. MLB:  Texas Rangers
  16. MLB:  Colorado Rockies
  17. MLB:  Arizona Diamondbacks
  18. NHL:  Buffalo Sabres
  19. Golf:  7 Strokes or fewer
  20. NBA:  Dallas Mavericks
  21. Golf:  Any Other Number
  22. Golf:  Par (4)
  23. MLB:  New York Yankees

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