Wednesday, August 21, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday, August 22

Ok everybody, before we get to our Streak for the Cash picks for tomorrow, we have exciting news!  Our Fantasy Football league is now set up!  Click on the Football Games tab above to view our football site and get all of the details!  Space is limited and the draft will be Saturday, August 31, so be sure to act quickly!  If you have any questions, send us a tweet @TheFantasySC or leave a comment on this post.  Good luck!


Our top stash pick:
  1. NFL:  Baltimore Ravens

Our picks for every prop:
  1. Golf:  Matt Kuchar or tie
    • It's hard to know what to expect with Tiger.  Some days he's on fire and other days he's just awful.  So which Tiger will show up for this tournament?  It's hard to tell.  Kuchar, though not as talented a golfer, has been more consistent than Tiger.  I'll take my chances on the tie option for the first round's back nine.
    • Confidence: 55%
  2. Golf:  Phil Mickelson
    • Again, Mickelson has been more consistent and good I think than Bill Haas.  
    • Confidence: 50%
  3. MLB:  Philadelphia Phillies
    • The Rockies lead the season series 3 - 2, but the Phillies are the favorites at -130 for this game. The Phillies send Kyle Kendrick to the mound, who is 10 - 10 with a 4.36 ERA on the season. The Rockies send out Chad Bettis who is 0 - 2 with a 5.30 ERA on the season.  Clearly Bettis is not nearly as experienced as Kendrick.  The Phillies are just 3 - 7 in their last 10, but they should add to their win column tonight.
    • Confidence: 65%
  4. NFL:  New England Patriots
    • The Patriots have won both of their preseason games so far.  They are also 3 - 0 in head-to-head matches against the Lions since 2001.  That stat can't be taken too much into account for this game though because this is a preseason game and both teams are very different from their latest matchup which was in 2010.  Still, the Patriots have looked good this preseason and the Lions are just 1 - 1.  Even though the Lions are at home, the Patriots should win this game.
    • Confidence: 70%
  5. NFL:  Baltimore Ravens
    • The Ravens have won both of their preseason games so far, one at home and one on the road.  They trail Carolina 1 to 2 in head-to-head matches since 2001, but the Ravens won the most recent one.  Still, the Ravens have looked good this preseason, including coming back big late against the Falcons in their last game.  An added bonus for the Ravens is that they are at home for this game and the Panthers have lost their only other preseason road game this year.
    • Confidence: 70%
  6. MLB:  St. Louis Cardinals
    • Both the Braves and the Cardinals are 6 - 4 in their last 10 games.  The Braves lead the season series 3 - 0 and had an extra-innings win against the Mets yesterday, but the pitching matchup for this game definitely favors St. Louis.  The Braves will start Paul Maholm who is just coming off of the disabled list and hasn't pitched since July 20.  He is 9 - 9 with a 4.41 ERA on the season.  The Cardinals start Joe Kelly who is 4 - 3 with a 3.01 ERA this season, including a road win on August 17 against the Cubs.  
    • Confidence: 70%
  7. MLB:  Pittsburgh Pirates
    • Although Matt Cain got the win the last time he faced the Pirates, he is only 8 - 8 with a 4.35 ERA on the season.  The Pirates are 2 - 1 against the Giants this season, although the scheduled starting pitcher for this game, Jeff Locke hasn't faced them this season.  Locke has done well this season, going 9 - 4 with a 2.90 ERA.
    • Confidence: 70%

Saturday, August 17, 2013

Streak for the Cash picks for Saturday, August 17

Man, we missed some picks on some incredible outcomes.  Case in point: Nick Watney misses a 3 foot putt to tie with Ernie Els in golf!  How do you miss a 3 foot putt?  Anyway, on a good note, I did win all four tennis props, although I didn't get them all posted here.  The English Premier league starts today, so expect a lot more soccer props from now on!  Most of the other European leagues such as La Liga and the Bundesliga also start soon I believe.  

I can't tell you how much I'm looking forward to football season!  I will try and get a fantasy football league set up tomorrow, but for sure by Wednesday I'll have the league set up and posts for the other fantasy games as well.

Now let's get to Streak for the Cash picks!  I don't have write-ups for every prop, but I do have picks.

Our top stash pick:

  1. NFL:  Cincinnati Bengals
Our picks for every prop:

  1. Soccer:  Stoke City win/draw/lose by 1
    • The two results between Liverpool and Stoke City last season were a 0 - 0 draw at Liverpool and a 3 - 1 win for Stoke City at home.  In fact, Liverpool hasn't beaten Stoke City by 2+ in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.  Liverpool also lost their first game of the EPL last season to West Bromwich 3 - 0.  Stoke City is missing a couple of mid-fielders for this match, but that shouldn't make too much of a difference.
    • Confidence: 70%
  2. Golf:  Patrick Reed or tie
    • Reed's scores for rounds 1 and 2 were 65 and 64 respectively.  Huh's scores for the same rounds were 68 and 62 respectively.  Reed and Huh are 1 and 2 atop the leaderboard.  It's kind of hard to say how the course will play in round 3, but Reed has been consistent over the first two rounds and having the tie option appears to be the safer pick.
    • Confidence: 50%
  3. Soccer:  Swansea City win or draw
    • Last season's results between ManU and Swansea were a 1 - 1 draw at Swansea and a 2 - 1 win for ManU at home.  Manchester United has some key injuries for this match.  de Guzman is out due to a concussion, and Ashley Young, Nani, Rafael, and Javier Hernandez are all expected to be sidelined.  Swansea is better than most people think, and I think it will take time for ManU to get used to their new manager.
    • Confidence: 65%
  4. Other:  Philadelphia Soul win or single digit loss
  5. Tennis:  Any Other Result
    • Del Potro and Isner have played each other 3 times in the last 4 years.  Del Potro has won every match, but Isner took the most recent one, the final at Washington in early August, to three sets.  Isner is coming off of a monstrous upset of Novak Djokovic in three sets.  Both of these players have played very well.  I think Isner has enough to take at least one set, especially if he continues to serve like he did in the Djokovic match.  
    • Confidence: 65%
  6. MLB:  New York Yankees
    • Man did I get burned taking the Red Sox by 2+ runs yesterday.  That was not a good move, so today I'm definitely going with the Yankees, especially with Kuroda on the mound.  He is 4 - 1 with a 0.94 ERA in his last seven starts.  He's just been on fire!  Lackey on the other hand has lost his last four starts, posting a 4.96 ERA over that span.  Kuroda and Lackey last dueled it out on July 20, a game the Yankees won 5 - 2.  Boston is listed as the favorite at -130 but I just can't pick against Kuroda.
    • Confidence:  70%
  7. MLB:  St. Louis Cardinals
    • The Cardinals were blanked by the Cubs yesterday 7 - 0.  I picked Carlos Beltran on Beat the Streak and he had the Cardinals' only two hits, so lucky me!  The Cardinals have been struggling a bit lately, but luckily Wood hasn't had much success againt them or many other teams for that matter, as that Cubs have lost 10 of his last 13 starts.  The season series is tied at 7, but I think the Cards win today and take a lead in the season series.  The Cubs have played them tough and for some reason are a thorn in the Cardinals' side.
    • Confidence: 60%
  8. NFL:  Dallas Cowboys
  9. Soccer:  Valencia Win
    • Valencia has won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings with Malaga, 4 of them at home and 3 on the road.  This is the first day of the Primera Division season as well as the start of the EPL.  Given the past history between these two teams, Valencia winning is a pretty safe bet, especially because they are at home.
    • Confidence: 65%
  10. NFL:  Cincinnati Bengals
    •  The Bengals beat the Falcons in their first preseason game and the Titans lost by 1 to the Redskins.  In week 2 of the preseason, the Bengals should win again.  They are much more talented offensively than the Titans, and their defense is constantly improving.  Plus, the starters should play more this week than last week.  The Bengals should be really good this year.
    • Confidence: 75%
  11. Tennis:  19 games or more
    • Williams and Na have met 7 times in the last 4 years, though one of those doesn't really count since it was a walkover for Na.  Li Na has only taken 1 set out of all of those matches, so don't expect this to go three sets.  However, the total games played for each of their head-to-head meetings were as follows: 22, 22, 21, 26, 22, and 31, so none of their previous head-to-head matches has even gone under 21 games, let alone 18.  Serena will likely win, but I'd be very surprised if this went under, especially with Serena's lazy play lately.
    • Confidence: 75%
  12. NFL:  New York Jets
    • The Jaguars lost their first preseason game to the Dolphins 27 - 3.  The Jets also lost, but had a much more respectable showing, losing to the Lions 26 - 17.  The Jaguars are not good, and although the Jets aren't a premier team either, they are certainly better than the Jaguars.  Even though this is preseason, the Jets being at home and needing desperately to get offense going should come out victorious.
    • Confidence: 65%
  13. NFL:  St. Louis Rams
    • The Packers had a very shocking and disappointing result in week 1 of the preseason, losing to the Cardinals 17 - 0 at home!  The Rams also lost, but with a much more favorable result, a 27 - 19 road loss to the Browns.  The Rams are at home for this game, and with the Packers still trying to figure things out on offense, the Rams are poised to win in week 2 of this preseason.
    • Confidence: 60%
  14. NFL:  Houston Texans
    • Miami has played two preseason games already since they played the Cowboys in the Hall of Fame game.  They lost that game, but then won the next one, beating the Jaguars convincingly. The Texans also won last week, beating the Vikings on the road 27 - 13.  Now the Texans are at home and should get another win.  You should watch out for Deandre Hopkins, the Texans' wide receiver.  He'll be of great fantasy value this season.
    • Confidence: 70%
  15. MLB:  Texas Rangers
  16. Soccer:  Philadelphia Union win or draw
  17. MLB:  New York Mets
  18. MLB:  Cleveland Indians
  19. Soccer:  Vancouver Whitecaps win or draw
  20. NFL:  Seattle Seahawks
  21. WNBA:  Seattle Storm
  22. Other:  Any Other Result
  23. Other:  Mauricio Rua
  24. Soccer:  Real Salt Lake win or draw

Friday, August 16, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday, August 16

Wouldn't you know it: the Nationals give up a three-run homer with two outs int the top of the ninth to lose the game yesterday.  Oh well.  We still had a pretty good day yesterday, especially with the NFL props.  We have most of the props listed here and will hopefully be able to post the rest later today.
  
Our top stash pick:

  1. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers

Our picks for every prop:

  1. Tennis:  Yes, 1+ tiebreaks played
    • Djokovic and Isner have played 4 times in the last 4 years.  They played at least 1 tiebreak in each of those matches.  So if you're picking based on history alone, the 1+ tiebreaks option is the favorable pick.  Isner has already played a few tiebreaks in his run through this Western and Southern Open tournament.  Djokovic hasn't played any tiebreaks in this tournament, but he has had the easier draw.  I think Isner's big serve will keep him in the first set, especially because Djokovic tends to play slow in the first set.  
    • Confidence: 65%
  2. Golf:  Nick Watney or tie
    • Watney shot a 72 and Els a 71 in round 1.  Previous rounds mean next to nothing in golf, and honestly I'm not very good at picking golf, but I think Watney can at least tie in this round.
    • Confidence: 40%
  3. Soccer:  
    • Lyon is first in the current league standings and Sochaux 12th, though those don't mean too much because they have only played one league game so far.  In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, Sochaux has won or drawn 3 of those 5, including a 2 - 1 victory at Lyon in their latest match back in March.  Sochaux should at least draw at home, although Lyon has won the last few times they've been featured on SFTC.
    • Confidence: 50%
  4. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers
    • The Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball right now, going 40 - 8 since early June.  The Phillies have been the complete opposite.  Cliff Lee has been great against the Dodgers, going 2 - 1 with a 1.40 ERA over his last 6 starts against them, but I really don't think his team has enough to pull off a victory against the Dodgers.  Greinke has been great as well, going 7 - 1 with a 2.49 ERA over his last ten starts.  I'm a little concerned that the Phillies are listed as the favorites at -102.  I don't get that.  Dodgers should be the clear favorites here.
    • Confidence: 75%
  5. NFL:  Buffalo Bills
    • The Vikings lost their first preseason game to the Texans at home.  The Bills soundly beat the Colts on the road in their first game.  Honestly there's not too much to go off of for this game for me, I just think the Bills will get the win at home.
    • Confidence: 50%
  6. MLB:  Yes, Cabrera, Davis, or both hit a home run
    • The Tigers play the Royals and the Orioles the Rockies today.  So Cabrera will face Danny Duffy whom he is 3 for 10 against over the last 5 years.  Chris Davis will face Juan Nicasio, whom he has never faced.  These two are clearly the MLB leading home run hitters, so hopefully at least one of them should get one tonight.  This is definitely not an easy green though.
    • Confidence: 50%
  7. MLB:  Red Sox win by 2+ runs
    • The Red Sox lead the season series 6 - 3 and each of those wins was by 2+ except for the most recent.  They are heavily favored in this game (-181), and although they had a terrible road trip, they are back at home now and should turn things around. `
    • Confidence: 65%

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday, August 15

Man what a day yesterday!  Just when it looked like the sheep were going to win every prop, the Red Sox lost to the Blue Jays, causing one of the most massive leaderboard crashes in recent memory!  This game is crazy, but oh so fun.  I apologize for the lack of picks yesterday.  All picks for today are now posted though.  Good luck to all!

Our top stash pick:
  1. MLB:  Washington Nationals

Our picks for every prop:
  1. Golf:  Boo Weekley
    • I'll be the first to admit that I'm not very good at picking golf.  It is definitely the sport I know that least about.  So honestly, I wouldn't trust my advice on golf very much, but I'm trying to help out. Weekley has done better than Bae in the previous two tournaments they played in.  In fact, Bae missed the cut in their last tournament, the PGA Championship.  
    • Confidence: 40%
  2. Golf:  Brandt Snedeker
    • Again, I don't know much about golf, but it seems like Snedeker has been better and more consistent of late.  
    • Confidence: 40%
  3. MLB:  Los Angeles Angels
    • The Yankees lead the season series 4 - 2 and have won the previous three games of this series. They are barely the favorites tonight at -105 and the Angels are due for a win.  With Wilson on the mound, the Angels are in a good position to do that.  Wilson is 12 - 6 with a 3.49 ERA on the season.  For the Yankees, Phil Hughes is just 4 - 11 with a 4.99 ERA on the season.  The Yankees have really had the Angels' number these past couple of games, but I really think the Angels avoid the sweep and get a much-needed win.
    • Confidence: 60%
  4. Tennis:  1st Set
    • I'm really torn on this prop, but I think 1st set has the slight advantage here.  The main reason I'm torn is that in a number of tennis matches recently, the 2nd set has been an "upset" set and has had more games played than the first.  Examples are the Sharapova/Stephens, Azarenka/Ivanovic, Murray/Youzhny, and Isner/Mayer matches.  The main reason I'm going first is that Djokovic usually starts slow, and Goffin isn't a rollover player and will have to come out blazing if he's to have any shot at winning.  They played each other back in May at the French open. In that match, the fist set was 7 - 6 and the 2nd was 6 - 4.
    • Confidence: 50%
  5. MLB:  St. Louis Cardinals
    • The Pirates lead the season series 8 - 4, but the Cardinals are at home and are the favorites at -127.  Lynn has a much better record (13 - 6 ) than Burnett (5 - 8), but has a higher ERA.  Still, the Cards don't want to give up any more ground and I think they rebound from yesterday.
    • Confidence: 60%
  6. Tennis:  John Isner first breaks serve or no breaks of serve
    • The likelihood of there being no breaks of serve in this match is so small that you can just rule it out.  So basically this boils down to who will break serve first, Isner or Raonic.  Isner is famous for his serve and has been serving extremely well of late.  Raonic did break serve first when they played last year in Toronto, but Isner has just been so on fire with his serve lately that I have to think he will break serve first.  
    • Confidence: 50%
  7. Tennis:  Any Other Result
    • Federer and Haas have played each other 4 times in the last 4 years, and the Any Other Result option would have won 3 out of those 4 times.  They have never played each other on hard court, but they both play well on all surfaces and both have similar styles of play.  Roger has been a little down lately though, and given their match history I think Haas can take at least one set.
    • Confidence: 60%
  8. MLB:  Washington Nationals
    • The Nationals go for the series sweep tonight and they need every win they can get if they're going to get into the postseason.  They're 8 1/2 games behind the Reds for the second wild card spot and 14 games back of Atlanta.  They're closing the gap though and have a great chance to continue doing that tonight as they face a Giants team that is really struggling.  Haren has been great for the Nats, winning his last 3 while posting a 1.29 ERA and holding batters to a 0.157 average.  This is just the second start for Vogelsong after returning from a broken hand.  He has also never pitched in Washington D.C. 
    • Confidence: 70%
  9. MLB:  Boston Red Sox
    • Man, what a leaderboard crash the Blue Jays caused last night!  I think Boston bounces back tonight though to avoid losing two consecutive series.  Buerhle is 0 - 4 with a 4.97 ERA in 8 starts against the Red Sox.  Peavy has had mixed results with the Red Sox, but I think he'll outduel Buerhle tonight and get the Red Sox back on track.
    • Confidence: 60%
  10. NFL:  Cleveland Browns
    • Both the Lions and the Browns won their first preseason game.  Trent Richardson did not play in the Browns' first game though and is scheduled to play tonight.  He probably won't play more than a couple of series, but he is clearly their best player and should have a monstrous impact.  It is the preseason though, and anything can happen.  Starters don't play too long, and it's mostly about the depth players cementing their place on the depth chart.  I just think with the Browns being at home and having Richardson they will get the win.
    • Confidence: 65%
  11. NFL:  Carolina Panthers
    • The Panthers won their first preseason game against the Bears, and the Eagles lost theirs against the Patriots.  Nick Foles will start this second preseason game for the Eagles, though Vick will likely get some time in the 2nd quarter.  LeSean McCoy is also set to start for the Eagels.  The Eagles just have too many question marks at this point though, so I'm taking the Panthers in this one.
    • Confidence: 65%
  12. NFL:  Baltimore Ravens
    • In their first preseason games, the Falcons lost at home to the Bengals and the Ravens won big on the road against Tampa Bay.  The Falcons are without Michael Turner from last season and the Ravens lost Pitta for the season.  Even though this is a "meaningless preseason game", the Ravens should win at home.
    • Confidence: 50%
  13. NFL:  Chicago Bears
    • In their first preseason game, the Bears lost on the road to the Panthers.  The Chargers were beaten by 21 at home by the Seahawks in their first preseason game.  The Bears lost a few key players on defense, but they are still more talented than the Chargers on defense, and definitely better on offense.  Their loss to the Panthers is a little concerning, but this is the preseason after all, so it's nothing to be too worried about.  The Bears should take this one at home.
    • Confidence: 60%
  14. NFL:  2 touchdowns or fewer
    • The Bears scored 1 touchdown in the first half in their only preseason game so far.  The Chargers didn't score any touchdowns in the first half of their previous preseason game.  Hopefully the offense will be better for this game, but since starters don't last too long in preseason games and the backups for these teams aren't super impressive, I don't think we can count on a ton of offense.  Two touchdowns or fewer is the best pick in my opinion, but who knows, maybe we'll see some good offense tonight.  I wouldn't mind that at all.
    • Confidence: 45%
  15. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
    • The Reds are coming off of a series sweep of the Cubs and have been rolling of late in large part due to excellent pitching.  The Reds lead the season series against the Brewers 6 - 3 and are the favorites at -144.  Even though Cingrani has been a little suspect lately and Lohse hasn't lost at home since early May, I think Lohse's streak ends tonight and the Reds continue to inch closer to the Pirates and Cardinals.  
    • Confidence: 65%
  16. MLB:  Minnesota Twins
    • The Twins lead the season series againt the lowly White Sox 9 - 3.  Pelfrey hasn't been very successful against the White Sox or against any teams lately.  He has just 1 win since May 10.  Rienzo was just called up a couple weeks ago and hasn't been stellar either.  The White Sox have lost their last 9 road games, and I think the Twins make it 10 tonight and Pelfrey finally breaks out of his slump. 
    • Confidence: 55%
  17. Tennis:  18 games or more
    • Serena and Mona have never played each other so there is no previous history to go off of for this match.  It is probably most likely that Serena will win in straight sets, but Mona would only have to win 6 games for 18+ to win, and that's totally doable.  Serena's last match, against Bouchard of Canada, went 3 sets and Serena was even more favored in that match than she is in this one.  
    • Confidence: 65%
  18. NFL:  Yes, both teams score in the 3rd quarter
    • At first glance this seems like an easy pick.  However, neither the Bears nor the Chargers scored in the 3rd quarter of their only other preseason game so far.  If any team doesn't score, I think the Chargers are the most likely culprit.  Hopefully the teams have gotten their rust out and can each at least score a field goal in the third quarter.
    • Confidence:  45%
  19. WNBA:  Seattle Storm
    • These two teams were featured on SFTC back in early July, a game which Chicago led big in the 3rd quarter but ended up losing the game.  WNBA teams are notorious for giving up big leads and losing games in the 4th quarter.  It's one reason the WNBA is almost unbearable to watch.  Anyway, Delle Donne is most likely out for this game and the Sky have lost 3 straight to the Storm on the road.  Both teams are 3 - 2 in their last 5 games, but the Storm have the edge since their at home and Delle Donne will most likely sit.
    • Confidence: 60%
  20. MLB:  New York Mets
    • The Mets have lost 3 in a row, but the Padres have been even worse, losing 6 of their last 8.  Wheeler has been great for the Mets, though most of his success has been on the road.  It's a good thing the Mets are on the road for this game then.  He is 4 - 0 with a 2.21 ERA and holding batters to a .206 average over his last 6 road starts.  Tyson Ross has never pitched against the Mets, but he has had solid numbers so far.  The Padres are favored at -146, but I just think the Mets are better and will get the win tonight. 
    • Confidence: 65%

SFTC picks for Wednesday, August 14

I've got a lot of work to do today, so I'll try to do write-ups when I can.  

Our picks for every prop:

  1. MLB:  Chicago White Sox
    • The Tigers are favored at -157, but I don't think they're as safe as people think.  Anytime a pick is hot and 98+% percent are picking one way, the result is quite often a sheep slaughter. I'm going to take a chance with the White Sox, who have won the previous 2 games of this series against the Tigers.
    • Confidence: 45%

Monday, August 12, 2013

SFTC picks for Tuesday, August 13

Hello everybody and welcome back.  Summer semester is over for me so I will have some time to post picks and get our football site ready.  Hopefully you are having a good month streaking.  Are you ready for football?  We sure are, and these next two weeks can't go by fast enough :)

I have also started to do Beat the Streak Picks again, so make sure you check out the Baseball games site for those picks and some BTS news!

Our top stash pick:
  1. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
Our picks for every prop:
  1. Tennis:  5 games or more
    • These two have never played each other so there's not much to go off of except for recent form.  Azarenka is definitely favored to win and should do so, but she has been very inconsistent of late, especially in the last two to three rounds of Carlsbad.  King has won her last three matches and has looked pretty good.  She should be able to take at least 5 games, especially due to Azarenka's struggling serve.
    • Confidence: 65%
  2. Tennis:  Any other result
    • These two have only played once, a match that Mayer won 2 - 0 (at Miami on hard court).  Isner has lost at least one set in each of his last 4 matches.  Mayer has won at least one set in 4 of his last 5 matches.  Isner is certainly the favorite to win, but Mayer should take at least one set.
    • Confidence: 65%
  3. Soccer:  Sligo Rovers
    • I would definitely not pick this match with anything more than a win 5.  The odds are pretty much even for either team to win.  In the Irish Premeir league table, Sligo is 3rd with a GD of +23.  Shamrock is 5th in the table with a GD of +9.  Sligo has won both of their previous matches in this tournament 4 - 0 while Shamrock has won their previous two games of this tournament 1 - 0 and 2 - 1.  Although this is not a Premier league game and Shamrock is at home, I think Sligo is a little bit better and will advance.
    • Confidence: 50%
  4. MLB:  Washington Nationals
    • The Giants lead the season series 2 - 1, but all of those games were played in San Francisco.  Bumgarner and Gonzalez last faced off against each other in the third game of that series, a 2 - 1 win for the Nats.  Bumgarner has a better ERA than Gonzalez on the season, but th Giants have struggled so much offensively lately that I just don't trust them.  The Nats haven't been spectacular of late either, but I trust them more, especially since they're at home.
    • Confidence: 70%
  5. MLB:  Boston Red Sox
    • The Red Sox struggled a bit in their last series, but have had good success against the Blue Jays, going 8 - 5 against them this season.  Dempster has stuggled lately as well, posting a 7.27 ERA over his last 5 starts, although the Red Sox did win all of those games.  The Blue Jays have lost 4 of their last 5 and are bringing up Todd Redmund from Triple-A.  The Red Sox are the favorites at -117.
    • Confidence: 70%
  6. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
    • Luckily for the Reds, the Cubs are one of the worst teams in the majors for scoring runs.  They have scored 2 or fewer runs in 37 games this season.  The Reds send Homer Bailey to the mound who has been nearly perfect at Wrigley Field, posting a 1.93 ERA in four straight wins there.  Samardzija had a truly awful game in his last start and I don't expect he'll have a drastic turnaround tomorrow.  The Reds beat the Cubs last night and are the favorites (-131) to do it again.
    • Confidence: 75%
  7. MLB: Cleveland Indians
    • The Indians have really struggled lately, losing 7 of their last 8.  The Twins have been on a surge lately, but it's mostly due to great pitching, and nearly all of their runs have been scored via home runs.  I don't know how long that trend can continue, and I think the Indians are due for a win.  I'm not really confident about this one though.
    • Confidence: 40%
  8. MLB:  Kansas City Royals
    • Kansas City beat Miami 6 - 2 last night in their first meeting of the season.  The Royals have won their last two while the Marlins have lost their last two.  The Royals are favorites at -130 and I just can't pick against them with Bruce Chen on the mound at home.  He is undefeated (5 - 0 ) with a 1.79 ERA on the season.
    • Confidence: 75%
  9. MLB:  Baltimore Orioles
    • The O's lost game 1 of the season series between these two teams on a walk-off homer on the first pitch in the bottom of the ninth.  I really doubt they lost 2 in a row though.
    • Confidence: 60%
  10. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers
    • This game features two great pitchers in Harvey and Ryu.  I expect this will be a low-scoring game, but I think the Dodgers have the edge as they are at home and lead the season series 3 - 1.  
    • Confidence: 60%
  11. MLB:  6 or more
    • This is a tough prop and in reality could go either way.  6+ Ks means averages out to 1 K per pitcher per inning for innings 1 - 3.  Harvey has 178 Ks on the season and Ryu 118.  Just going by their last 3 games, each of these pitchers have averaged 1+ Ks per inning pitched.
    • Confidence: 45%

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Aug. 1 SFTC Picks

Sweet!  There are several good things about August being here.  First is that it's a new month for Streak For the Cash.  We beat Flo last month, although we didn't win the drawing.  Second is that football season is here!  We will  most likely be starting a Fantasy Football league in the next couple of weeks, so stay tuned for details.  

School has been crazy busy for me this summer, hence the lack of posts.  I will be graduating in the spring with a bachelor's degree in Software Engineering, so this year will likely take a lot of my time as well, but I'll do my best to provide you with as much help as I can for all of your favorite fantasy games.  We'll be covering a few of the popular football games like College Football Challenge and College Football Pick'em.  If you haven't played those games, I highly recommend them.  

I have the rough draft of my senior project report due tomorrow, so sorry, no writeups today.  Please take time to share the site with your friends and everyone you know!  Also follow us on Twiiter (@TheFantasySC) for up-to-date analysis.

Our top stash picks:

  1. MLB:  Cleveland Indians
  2. MLB:  Texas Rangers

Our picks for every SFTC prop:

  1. Golf:  Dustin Johnson + Adam Scott or Tie
  2. MLB:  Cleveland Indians
  3. Soccer:  AC Milan 
  4. MLB:  New York Mets
  5. MLB:  Kansas City Royals
  6. Golf:  Phil Mickelson
  7. Soccer:  Bayern Munich
  8. Soccer:  Swansea City Win
  9. WNBA:  Indiana Fever
  10. MLB:  St. Louis Cardinals
  11. MLB:  Texas Rangers
  12. MLB:  Atlanta Braves
  13. Soccer:  Chelsea
  14. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers
  15. Other:  Any Other Result
  16. WNBA:  Seattle Storm
  17. MLB:  Los Angeles Angels
  18. Soccer:  Real Madrid Wins by 2+ goals