Our top stash pick:
- MLB: Baltimore Orioles
- Tennis: Roger Federer
- These two have matched up before so probably unlikely to see anything super new in this latest match. Federer owns the overall head to head 9-3 with 2 of those victories coming on clay. The last time though was back in 2011 in Rome. Tsonga's last victories over Federer were his come from 2 sets down victory at Wimbledon then a hard court victory later that summer in 2011. With all that in the past Federer still knows how to get it done and will take a hold of another record when he books his ticket to the semifinals.
- Confidence: 65%
- Soccer: Lebanon win/draw/lose by 1
- These teams have only met head to head 7 times. The most recent was in June of last year, a match that South Korea won at home 3 - 0. South Korea has beaten Lebanon by 2+ 4 of those 7 times, but all of them were home matches for South Korea. Lebanon has never lost at home to South Korea by 2+. Now granted, most of their head to head matches are from many years ago and may not be too relavant to this match. In their last 5 matches of this year, Lebanon lost by 2+ once (on the road), and South Korea hasn't beaten anyone by 2+. Lebanon has done better at home than on the road, and since this is a home match for them, they should keep the scoreline within 1 goal.
- Confidence: 65%
- Soccer: Poland wins by 3+ goals
- Well, these teams have never played each other and they haven't played any common opponents in their last 11 matchups, so it's hard to get a feel for this game. Poland has 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 11 matches. Liechtenstein (I should get a reward just for spelling that correctly) has 1 win, 1 draw, and 9 losses in their last 11 matches. In their last 2 friendlies at home they won by 3+ goals. I think they should be able to do it here as well.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: New York Yankees
- For whatever reason, the Indians can't seem to beat the Yankees this season. The Yankees now lead the season series 4 - 1 after winning yesterday. David Phelps, the Yankees' starter, is 3 - 3 with a 4.65 ERA on the season. Travis Kipnis, the Indians' starter, is 3 - 2 with a 5.13 ERA on the season. With Mark Texeira and other players now back in the lineup, the Yankees are poised to continue winning.
- Confidence: 65%
- MLB: Tampa Bay Rays
- What an intruiging game this should be! The best pitcher in baseball against the best hitter in baseball. Matt Moore and Miguel Cabrera, under the lights. Here we go! Matt Moore has yet to lose a game. He is 8 - 0 with a 2.18 ERA, and is limiting hitters to a .178 average. Cabrera leads the majors with a .367 bating average and 65 RBIs. Despite Cabrera's awesome numbers, the Tigers have lost 5 of their last 6. They have also lost 7 of 12 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Rays on the other hand have won 11 of their last 16. These teams have not met this season. Will Moore extend his streak to 9 - 0?
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Texas Rangers
- The Rangers lead the season series 3 - 0, all of them at home. Now they travel to Boston, but it shouldn't be too hard from them to get a win there, as they have won 10 of their last 13 at Fenway. Grimm has been solid for the Rangers, winning his last 3 and going 5 - 3 with a 3.93 ERA on the season. Dempster has been struggling a little bit to find his groove, losing 4 of his last five while accumulating a 6.41 ERA over that span.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates
- I'm not super confident about it, but I'm taking the Pirates in this one. Minor is 0 - 1 with a 6.00 ERA in two starts against the Pirates this season. Locke has been better than Minor, going 2 - 0 in his last two starts, and 5- 1 with a 2.25 ERA on the season. The Pirates lead the season series 3 - 2, and are the underdogs for this game, but I just have a feeling that having Locke on the mound and McCutchen back in the lineup will help them get the win
- Confidence: 50%
- Other: Any Other Result
- The 12 inning affair between these two was a first for both teams. Neither had played that many innings in a WCWS finals game. Neither team scored through 10 innings, then both scored 3 in the 11th, then Lauren Chamberlain hit a 2-run shot in the bottom of the 12th to give the Sooners the win. Before last night, Oklahoma had won by as much or more than the predicted winning margin on SFTC. I'm taking any other result this time because I think Oklahoma may have met their match in Tenessee. I wouldn't be surprised if Oklahoma wins by 3+ though.
- Confidence: 60%
- Other: Tennessee leading after 2nd inning or tied
- I'm leaning more on the game being tied than for Tennessee to be leading for this prop. Like I said in my previous writeup, the game was tied 0 - 0 through 10 innings last night, and 3 - 3 at the end of the 11th. I think this will be another great pitching duel, and both teams play defense well, so it may be another extra-inning game.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Baltimore Orioles
- Surprisinly, the Astros currently hold the longest winning streak in baseball. They went 6 - 0 on their latest road trip, including a 4 game sweep of the Angels. Who would've thought? They still have a long way to go to even reach .500 though. I think their winning streak ends tonight. Chris Davis and the Orioles now come to town, the first time they've been to Houston since 2003. They have won their last 6 against Houston though, and Chris Tillman should get them to 7. He is 4 - 2 with a 4.26 ERA, although he has never faced Houston. Lucas Harell is 4 - 6 with a 5.37 ERA on the season, but had a rough month in May, going 0 - 4 with a 7.53 ERA. The line has moved a lot in Baltimore's favor, starting at -145 and currently sitting at -177.
- Confidence: 75%
- MLB: Oakland A's
- The A's are now just 1 1/2 games back from Texas for the AL West lead, thanks to their success on the road. They are 8 - 3 on the road, winning 4 straight. They have also won their last 4 against Milwaukee. Griffin is 5 - 4 with a 4.04 ERA on the season. Lohse is just 1 - 6 with a 4.37 ERA on the season. Milwaukee are only very slight favorites at -101, but Griffin and the A's should get it done, extend their streak, and keep pressure on the Rangers.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: St. Louis Cardinals
- With two relatively unknown pitchers, I have to go with what I know: the Cardinals have the best record and best offense in baseball. The line for this games is at -151, and the Cardinals have won 5 of their last 6 at home against the DBacks.
- Confidence: 60%
- NHL: Los Angeles Kings
- This game is really tough to call in my opinion. The Kings have been dominant at home, only losing 4 times in regulation all season. One of those defeats came at the hand of Chicago in the season-opener however. St. Louis was in a position similar to that of the Blackhawks and lost the next two at Staples Center. A huge concern is the Kings' scoring woes though. They have only scored 29 goals in 15 playoff games, just under 2 goals per game. They'll be hard-pressed to keep up with the Blackhawks at that rate. I'm taking the Kings at home being down 0 - 2 in this series, but I would not be surprised if Chicago extends their lead.
- Confidence: 50%
- NHL: 35 or more or no goal scored
- I really have no idea about jersey numbers of these teams. I'm mostly banking on no goal being scored in the 1st period to win this prop. This is a tossup though, so beware.
- Confidence: 50%
- Soccer: Jamaica Win or Draw
- Although Mexico is favored, this match has draw written all over it. Mexico has not won, but has drawn, every match this year. They have draws against Denmark, Jamaica (on Feb. 6), Honduras, USA, Peru, and Nigeria. Jamaica also has 3 draws and 1 loss this year. The Feb 6 result was in Mexico and this match is in Jamaica. I've seen nothing so far that convinces me of a Mexico win.
- Confidence: 70%
- NHL: 2 goals or more
- In game 1 of this series, 2 goals were scored in the 2nd period. 3 were scored in game 2. While those games don't determine the outcome for this game, I think it's pretty safe to assume the same result for this 2nd period. In reality, this is really a tossup though, and in SFTC fashion, there will probably be 0 goals scored in this 2nd period.
- Confidence: 65%
- MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers
- Well I thought the Padres could pull off a win yesterday but that clearly didn't happen. Now with them sending Richard to the mound, I'm definitely taking the Dodgers. Richard is just 1 - 5 with a 7.86 ERA on the season. The Dodgers send Lilly to the mound who is 0 - 2 with a 4.26 ERA on the season. They will also most likely get Hanley Ramirez back for this game to complement Adrian Gonzalez.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Seattle Mariners
- The White Sox will surely get out of their slump at some point, I just don't think it's tonight. Not against Felix Hernandez. Hernandez is 2 - 0 with a 2.17 ERA in five starts against Chicago at Safeco field. The White Sox have really struggled during their losing streak, batting just .179 while being outscored 37 - 11. The Mariners won last night and should get the win again tonight, being the favorites at -152.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: San Francisco Giants
- If Tim Lincecum loses to the Blue Jays today, I think it's safe to say he'll lose his spot in the starting rotation. He has really been off his game this year and has posted an 8.37 ERA while losing each of his last 3 starts. Former Giant Melky Cabrera and the Blue Jays try to continue their success over the Giants this season, but I'm just banking on Lincecum having the night of his life to stay in the rotation. I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants lose though, considering Lincecum's history and their recent form. They avoided the sweep against the Cardinals, but were blown out in evey other game of that series.
- Confidence: 55%
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