If you haven't heard, in all likelihood the golf props tomorrow will be pushed or cancelled due to almost guaranteed rain. So don't plan your day around the golf props. Anyway, here we go!
Our top stash picks:
- MLB: Tampa Bay Rays
- NBA: 4 or more
- Golf: Keegan Bradley or tie
- It's interesting that this prop is for holes 11 - 1. It shouldn't make much difference, I mean it's still 9 holes. It's reported that Mickleson will not arrive until early tomorrow morning and so will not have much preparation time, and unless he sleeps well on the plane, will most likely be tired. The tie option wins a good amount of the time, and I think that these two are similar enough in talent that I'll take the tie option.
- Confidence: 70%
- Soccer: FC Honka Win or Draw
- FC Honka is 3rd in the league table with 6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, and a GD of +2. Turku PS is 5th in the league table with 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, and a GD of 0. Turku did just beat Honka at home 2 - 0 back in April, but Honka has been in excellent form recently, winning their last 5 league matches. Honka is also higher in the standings and has a better GD, so I'll take the draw option in this one.
- Confidence: 65%
- Golf: 9 strokes or more
- For a description of this hole (hole 18) click here. This is one of the toughest on the course, at 521 yards, and neither Mahan nor Watney are exactly birdie specialists. I expect one of them to bogey.
- Confidence: 60%
- Golf: Yes Tiger gets at least 1 birdie on holes 1 - 4
- The best birdie opportunities are holes 1 and 2. If he doesn't birdie one of these two, I think the prop is pretty much over. Tiger didn't have a great showing in his last tournament, but I think he'll bounce back and I'll take the chance that he can net at least one birdie.
- Confidence: 50%
- Golf: Any Other Score
- For a description of this hole, click here. After reading the description, I'm inclined to think Van Pelt will bogey this hole. I highly doubt a birdie will green the Any Other Score option, so this is basically a 4 vs 5+ prop. Van Pelt hasn't been that impressive of late, so I'll take the 5+.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: Cincinnati Reds
- The Cubs have lost 8 of their last 10, and the Reds have won 19 of 22 against the Cubs, including the last 3 of this series. They should continue their success against the Cubs and get the series sweep, especially with Matt Latos on the mound. Latos is 6 - 0 with a 2.87 ERA while Samardizja is 3 - 7 with a 3.18 ERA. The Reds are the favorite at -125 and lead the season series 10 - 2.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Washington Nationals
- There is not much history between these teams this season as this is the first series between them this year. The series is tied, as the Rockies won the first, and the Nationals won the second yesterday. The Nationals send Detwiler to the mound who is 2 - 4 with a 2.76 ERA on the season. The Rockies counter with Francis who is also 2 - 4 but with a 6.30 ERA on the season. I'm not super confident about it, but I'm taking the Nationals here based on pitching.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: San Francisco Giants
- Although the Giants lost the first two games of this series, I'm going with the Giants today based on the pitching matchup. Matt Cain has been pretty solid this year. He is 4 - 3 with a 5.09 ERA on the season. On the other side, Charlie Morton will make his season debut for the Pirates today. The edge goes to Cain in this matchup, and I don't think the Giants will get swept. The line is only Giants -108 though, so I wouldn't pick this game with a high streak.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Tampa Bay Rays
- Here's an interesting stat for this game: the home team has won 13 of the last 15 meetings. Although on paper Hellickson looks worse than Santana, don't let it fool you. Hellickson hasn't lost since April 25, and he averages 6.86 runs of support. Santana on the other hand only averages 3.2 runs of support, has an ERA of 6.86 at Tropicana Field, and is just 2 - 5 in his last nine starts there. The Rays are -141 favorites.
- Confidence: 75%
- NBA: San Antonio Spurs
- We took a chance on the Heat in their last game and boy were we wrong. The Heat were taken behind the woodshed on Tuesday! The game was already decided after the third quarter, and the Heat played as if they didn't care and didn't want to be there. I mean they didn't even make a decent effort to defend the 3 point line after the Spurs made so many of them. They were just embarrassed, plain and simple. Although I don't think they lose by close to 40 points again tonight, I highly doubt they will win. And as much as LeBron says he won't let it happen, it's not really up to him. He's not the kind of player that can win games all by himself. Anyway, to make a long story short, the Spurs are favored in this game, and should win again to increase their series lead to 3 - 1.
- Confidence: 70%
- NBA: Spurs 3 pointers made
- LeBron hasn't been scoring that much in the first halves of these finals games. He only had 4 points in the first half on Tuesday. The Spurs will probably make at least 6 3-pointers in the first half, and I just don't see LeBron making that many field goals in the first half.
- Confidence: 60%
- NBA: Yes at least one team makes their first FGA of the 2nd half
- Wow, talk about a tossup prop. There is really no amount of research that can decide this one. You might get a better sense of it by watching the first half, but even then, it really could go either way. I'm just feeling the yes option.
- Confidence: 45%
- NBA: 4 or more
- In game 1 there was 1 3-pointer made in the 4th quarter. In game 2 there were 5 made in the 4th. In game 3 there were 7 made in the 4th. The total has increased every game. While I don't think the Spurs will have as great of a shooting night as they did on Tuesday, between these two teams, they should be able to make 4 or more 3s pretty easily.
- Confidence: 75%
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