Sunday, June 2, 2013

Streak for the Cash picks for Monday, June 3

All of our picks are now posted.  Good luck to all!

Our top stash picks:
  1. Soccer:  Sweden wins by 2+ goals
  2. Other:  Oklahoma wins by 3+ runs

Our picks for every prop:
  1. Tennis:  Any Other Result
    • Nadal has looked especially vulnerable this French Open even though his last match was a straight sets victory. Nishikori is the first Japanese man to make it this far in this tournament in something like 80 years. He is a very good young talent and look for him to test Nadal.
    • Confidence: 70%
  2. Tennis:  Any Other Number
    • Sharapova isn't known for her clay court grace but has managed to become quite good at the surface in recent years. She completed her Career Grand Slam at the French Open last year so everyone knows she can handle herself out there. The youngster Stephens is coming into her game and looks to be a force in the years to come. In this matchup however the favor goes to the defending champion. Sharapova has won both times they've played including a demoliton of Stephens a couple of weeks ago in Rome.
    • Confidence: 75%
  3. Soccer:  Estonia Win or Draw
    • The odds I've seen have Estonia to win/draw at around -270 and Belarus to win at around +170.  Estonia has won or drawn 3 of the last 4 times they have played Belarus, but their last matchup was in 2006.  The win/draw option is also usually a very good pick for the home team.
    • Confidence: 70%
  4. Soccer:  Sweden wins by 2+ goals
    • For Sweden's starting 11, click here.  They are sending out a strong lineup for this game.  They are also heavily favored in this match and Macedonia is missing several players for various reasons.  They have only faced each other twice, both back in 2001, each of which Sweden won by 1 goal.  The win by 2+ option also won every time yesterday, and Sweden's at home for this game, if you need any more incentive to take Sweden here.
    • Confidence: 75%
  5. MLB:  New York Yankees
    • The Yankees lead the season series against the Indians 3 - 1.  Only one of those, the one they lost, was even close.  The rest were all blowouts.  The Yankees did just play last night in a game that was called after 5 1/2 innings due to weather, but that shouldn't play a factor in this game at all.  Pettite has been very good for the Yankees, going 4 - 3 with a 3.83 ERA on the season.  Masterson has also done well for the Indians, going 8 - 3 with a 3.07 ERA on the season.  It seems like the Yankees are still working out a few kinks as a few players finally return from injuries, as evidenced by their struggles in their last series against the Red Sox.  However, with them being at home and favored at -120, and with their success over the Indians this season, I have to roll with the Yankees.
    • Confidence: 70%
  6. MLB:  Atlanta Braves
    • I'm torn on this one.  Neither one of these pitchers have done well at all lately.  Burnett has lost his last 5 starts, going 0 - 3 with a 2.91 ERA and getting just 6 runs of support over that span.  Medlen's last win was April 9, and he is 0 - 5 with a 3.93 ERA since then.  He has gotten more run support than Burnett though, and for that reason, and the fact that Atlanta is at home, I'm taking the Braves.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Pirates win though.
    • Confidence: 50% 
  7. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
    • The Reds have the best home record in baseball at 20 - 7.  They have not faced the Rockies yet this season, but had great success over them last season, going 5 - 1.  Chatwood has been the better pitcher this season, going 3 - 0 with a 2.12 ERA compared to Arroyo's 5 - 5 mark with a 3.75 ERA.  Chatwood has never faced the Reds though, and with Cincinnati favored at -137 and at home, I'll roll with the Reds.
    • Confidence: 65%
  8. MLB:  7 or fewer
    • Wow, this one could really go either way.  I'm going with 7 or fewer because of the double play possibility and mostly because it usually takes batters a few innings to get used to the pitcher.  I mean the majority of scoring, and therefore multiple plate appearances, happens in the middle to later innings of games.  The Yankees, although I think they'll most likely win, haven't been hitting the ball very well of late and Masterson has had some good success against them.
    • Confidence: 50%
  9. Other:  Oklahoma wins by 3+ runs
    • Oklahoma is clearly deserving of their #1 ranking.  They are 55 - 4 on the year and have just been cruising through this world series.  They have also met or exceeded the winning margin in every prop they have been featured in on SFTC.  They have not played Tennessee this season, but they beat Texas by 8 in 5 innings, and Tennessee only barely beat Texas by 1 yesterday.
    • Confidence: 75%
  10. NHL:  Pittsburgh Penguins
    • The Penguins lost game 1 of this series mainly because they didn't play their game.  They looked really distraught, uptight, and frustrated.  They will have to keep their emotions in check and be stronger mentally for this game.  I think they will.  If they lose tonight, I think the series is over.
    • Confidence: 60%
  11. MLB:  Oakland A's
    • There isn't any recent history between these clubs so it's hard to get a good indication for this game.  Oakland hasn't been to Milwaukee since 1997 and Milwaukee hasn't visited Oakland since 2002.  Pitching will be especially important for this game, as each team's form has followed their pitching staff.  Oakland has been winning because of great pitching, and Milwaukee has been losing because or poor pitching.  Milone has been the more consistent of the two, and has won his last 3 starts.  I'm taking my chances with the A's in this one.
    • Confidence: 50%
  12. MLB:  St. Louis Cardinals
    • Each of these pitchers lost their last meeting against the opposing team in this matchup.  Lynn has been the better pitcher of the two.  He hasn't lost in his last 8 regular season home starts.  Although the Cardinals lost 2 of 3 in the previous series this season against the DBacks, they are at home for this series and should get the win.
    • Confidence: 70%
  13. NBA:  Indiana Pacers
    • You'll probably think I'm crazy for making this pick, but I'm going to anyway.  I know history is not on the Pacers' side as home teams are 16 - 2 in game 7s in the conference or NBA finals, and David Stern and the NBA want Miami in the Finals, but I'd like to see history made.  I would love to see the Pacers pull off the upset!  LeBron has lost game 7s at home before though.  Just ask Cleveland.  
    • Confidence:  30%
  14. NBA:  26 points or fewer
    • Dwane Wade has certainly been struggling this postseason.  He's only averaging 13.6 ppg, and in his last three games, just 12 ppg on 32% shooting.  So don't count on Wade to carry his weight in this prop.  It's more of a question of how many points LeBron will score.  He's been averaging about 25.8 ppg, or around 13 points per half.  I'd count on at most 16 points for LeBron in the first half.  That leaves 11 for Wade if the over will win.  I just don't see it.  
    • Confidence:  75% 
  15. NBA:  No: Any Other Result
    • I seem to remember this prop on one of the earlier games of this series and that the any other result option won as the Pacers outscored the Heat in the third quarter. 
    • Confidence:  60%
  16. MLB:  San Diego Padres
    • The Dodgers are just too banged up right now for me to pick them.  The Padres lead the season series against them 4 - 2, including the last 3 straight in the Dodgers' stadium.  The Padres start Stults who is 4 - 4 with a 3.86 ERA on the season.  The Dodgers are bringing up Stephen Fife from the minors who is 0 - 0 with a 7.71 ERA.  The line is Dodgers -115, but I just don't trust their lineup at all right now, and the Padres have been doing well of late.
    • Confidence: 70%
  17. MLB:  Seattle Mariners
    • I don't know the exact percentage, but the Mariners seem to win at a high percentage at home when featured on SFTC.  The White Sox have been dominant against the Mariners, winning 26 of their past 31 games against them, but their offense has been anemic of late.  They were just swept by the A's and have lost their last 7 in a row on the road.  It's a good thing the Mariners are at home for this game, as this season Joe Saunders is 3 - 1 with a 2.41 ERA at home compared to 0 - 4 with a 9.00 ERA on the road.  Danks has done well against the Mariners, going 4 - 0 against them on the road, but I just trust Seattle at home more than I do Chicago's anemic offense right now.
    • Confidence: 70%

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