Wednesday, July 3, 2013

SFTC picks for Wednesday, July 3

Well we don't have every pick done yet, but here's what we have so far.  Good luck!

Our top stash picks:

  1. Tennis:  David Ferrer
  2. Soccer:  Columbia Win
  3. MLB:  New York Mets

Our picks for every prop:

  1. Other:  Mark Cavendish, Andre Greipel, or Peter Sagan
    • I think the Any Other Cyclist option finally loses.  
    • Confidence: 60%
  2. Tennis:  David Ferrer
    • Del Potro has not beaten Ferrer since 2009.  These two met at Wimbeldon last year, with Ferrer winning 3 - 0.  Ferrer is on a tear through this tournament and is playing very good tennis right now.  
    • Confidence: 80%
  3. Soccer:  Ghana win or draw
    • I know most people are on Portugal and their star player, but I don't think Portugal is that sure of a pick.  This prop is just for 90min + injury, but if necessary, the game will be decided with extra time or penalty kicks.  Ghana was beaten by France and Spain in this tournament, but had a big win (4 - 1) over the US in their last game.  I think Ghana will be tougher than most people think.
    • Confidence: 50%
  4. Tennis:  Andy Murray wins 3 - 0
    • According to Flashscore.com, the only meetings between these two were in 2009.  They met 4 times, with Murray winning 3 and Verdasco 1, but only one match was won in straight sets.  I don't think those meetings have too much relevance to this match though because they were so long ago.  Murray is on a tear through this year's Wimbledon, playing 4 matches and winning them all 3 - 0.  The trend should continue today.
    • Confidence: 75%
  5. Soccer:  Columbia Win
    • The Columbia and South Korea U20 teams have met twice, once in May of this year and once in the World Cup in 2011.  Columbia won both meetings 1 - 0.  In this World Cup, Columbia has won 2 and drawn once, while South Korea has won 1, drawn one, and lost one.  Columbia is definitely the better team, and should get the win here.
    • Confidence: 75%
  6. MLB:  New York Mets
    • The Mets have won the previous two games of this series.  Matt Harvey has been a star for them, and is 7 - 1 with a 2.00 ERA on the season.  They are big favorites at -184.  I just don't see the Diamondbacks winning this game.  They've been struggling lately, and Delgado, at 0 - 2 with a 4.05 ERA on the season, is not the pitcher to bring them success.
    • Confidence: 80%
  7. MLB:  Yes Harvey records at least 1 K in each of the first 3 innings
    • Harvey has recorded multiple double digit strikeout games recently, and the Diamondbacks are in a real hitting slump right now.  Harvey should get at least 1K in each inning, if not more.
    • Confidence: 60%

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