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Our top stash picks:
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies
- Soccer: USA wins by 2+ goals
Our picks for every prop:
- Golf: 67 or more
- Simpson shot a 64 yesterday, and historically has done well on this course. The course has been playing pretty easy. The reason to take the over in my opinion is that the weather is supposed to turn bad and this will most likely affect this round.
- Confidence: 60%
- Tennis: Andy Murray wins in 3 or 5 sets
- There's not much history between these two, so there's not much to go off of head-to-head. They have played only once in the last 4 years, a match which Janowicz won 2 - 1 in Paris (hard court). Both of these guys have won most of their matches in this tournament in straight sets. I think the 3 set win for Murray is the most likely option for the 3 or 5 sets to win. 4 sets would be the most likely scenario for the Any Other Result option to win. I really don't think there will be a retirement or that Murray will lose outright.
- Confidence: 60%
- Soccer: Derry City Win
- Derry City is 2nd in the league table with 39 points and a GD of +19. Dundalk is 4th in the league table with 32 points and a GD of +6. In head-to-head meetings in the last two years, Derry City has won 4 (including the last two), drawn 2, and lost 2. Derry City is favored and is at home for this match, so I'll take them to win.
- Confidence: 65%
- MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates
- The Pirates lead the season series 6 - 3, and have won 5 of the last 6 games at Wrigley Field. Francisco Liriano is 7 - 3 with a 2.23 ERA on the season, has held teams to 1 run or less in 7 of his last 10 starts, and has only given up 2 hits in each of his last two starts against the Cubs. Jeff Samardzija is 5 - 7 with a 3.34 ERA on the season, and has lost both of his starts against the Cubs this season, receiving only 1 run of support in those two starts. The Pirates are the favorites at -137.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies
- Cliff Lee has been great for the Phillies. He is 7 - 0 in his last 11 outings, and hasn't lost since May 1. The Phillies are only 1 - 2 against the Braves this season, but Tim Hudson has been struggling on the road. He is 1 - 7 with a 5.71 ERA in 9 road starts, and has lost each of his last 8 away from home.
- Confidence: 70%
- MLB: Baltimore Orioles
- The Orioles have won 6 of the 9 meetings against the Yankees this season. Only 3 of them have been in New York though, and the Yankees won 2 of those 3. The main reason I'm taking the Orioles in this one is that Nova has not started since April, so he will likely be rusty. The Orioles are only slight favorites at -109, but they definitely have the better offense and the better pitcher in Miguel Gonzalez.
- Confidence: 65%
- MLB: Yes Either team leads at the end of the 2nd inning
- This is an interesting prop and here's why. The Yankees and Orioles have met 9 times this season, 3 times in New York and 6 times in Baltimore. In each of the 6 meetings in Baltimore, one team was leading at the end of the second inning. But, in each of the 3 meetings in New York, the teams were tied at the end of the 2nd inning. This game is in New York, so will the tie option win? I think not, and predict that the Orioles will be leading since Nova is pitching and he hasn't started since April.
- Confidence: 55%
- MLB: Yes, 1+ hits recorded in both the 4th and 5th innings
- Wow, another interesting in-game baseball prop. This is really a toss-up prop, as really anything can happen in baseball. In the 9 games these teams have played each other this season, at least 1 hit has been recorded in both the 4th and 5th innings in 4 of the 9 games. I'm guessing yes on this one mostly since Nova is pitching and because the Orioles have been hitting so well.
- Confidence: 45%
- MLB: Kansas City Royals
- I'm not super confident about this one. The Royals have been great offensively lately, but have lost all 3 games against the A's this season. All of those games were on the road though, and were played back in mid-May. Davis had a horrible start his last game, but had gone 1 - 0 with a 2.29 ERA over his last 4 starts.
- Confidence: 45%
- MLB: New York Mets
- The Mets begin a 9-game road trip, but have an excellent chance to start it out with a win tonight. They face one of the worst teams in baseball, and Milwaukee's starting pitcher made his major league debut last Friday and is 0 - 1 with an enormous 20.25 ERA on the season. Wheeler hasn't been extraordinary, and he'll need to have a long outing tonight as the Mets bullpen is tired and overworked. He should be able to do this against the Brewers though, who are still without Braun and Hart.
- Confidence: 60%
- Other: Calgary Stampeders
- The Stampeders won the pre-season game on June 20 on the road. They have won 14 of the last 22 dating back to 2008, including 9 of the last 10. The Roughriders are favored by 2 points, but given the history, I'm giving the edge to Calgary.
- Confidence: 50%
- MLB: Los Angeles Angels
- The Angels are riding some good momentum into this game, winning 8 of their last nine. Boston leads the season series 2 - 1, but those games were home games for them and the the Angels are favorites at -134. Wilson has also won his last 4 starts, and Doubront has not received a decision in his last 4 starts.
- Confidence: 60%
- MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers
- The Giants lead the season series 5 - 4 and Cain is 5 - 0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 11 over the Dodgers, but the Dodgers have a much different lineup now. They will likely get Carl Crawford back for this game, and have all of their stars in the lineup like Puig, Kemp, Ethier, and Gonzalez. The Giants have not been able to score runs lately, and have lost 9 of their last 10 games, including a series sweep by the Dodgers.
- Confidence: 70%
- Soccer: USA wins by 2+ goals
- The USA has won 2 of the last three against Guatemala by 2+, both home matches. Guatemala is not good. They have lost 6 of their last 10 matches (have drawn the other 4), each of them by 2+ goals.
- Confidence: 75%
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