SFTC picks for Tuesday, August 13

Hello everybody and welcome back.  Summer semester is over for me so I will have some time to post picks and get our football site ready.  Hopefully you are having a good month streaking.  Are you ready for football?  We sure are, and these next two weeks can't go by fast enough :)

I have also started to do Beat the Streak Picks again, so make sure you check out the Baseball games site for those picks and some BTS news!

Our top stash pick:

1. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds

Our picks for every prop:

1. Tennis:  5 games or more
• These two have never played each other so there's not much to go off of except for recent form.  Azarenka is definitely favored to win and should do so, but she has been very inconsistent of late, especially in the last two to three rounds of Carlsbad.  King has won her last three matches and has looked pretty good.  She should be able to take at least 5 games, especially due to Azarenka's struggling serve.
• Confidence: 65%
2. Tennis:  Any other result
• These two have only played once, a match that Mayer won 2 - 0 (at Miami on hard court).  Isner has lost at least one set in each of his last 4 matches.  Mayer has won at least one set in 4 of his last 5 matches.  Isner is certainly the favorite to win, but Mayer should take at least one set.
• Confidence: 65%
3. Soccer:  Sligo Rovers
• I would definitely not pick this match with anything more than a win 5.  The odds are pretty much even for either team to win.  In the Irish Premeir league table, Sligo is 3rd with a GD of +23.  Shamrock is 5th in the table with a GD of +9.  Sligo has won both of their previous matches in this tournament 4 - 0 while Shamrock has won their previous two games of this tournament 1 - 0 and 2 - 1.  Although this is not a Premier league game and Shamrock is at home, I think Sligo is a little bit better and will advance.
• Confidence: 50%
4. MLB:  Washington Nationals
• The Giants lead the season series 2 - 1, but all of those games were played in San Francisco.  Bumgarner and Gonzalez last faced off against each other in the third game of that series, a 2 - 1 win for the Nats.  Bumgarner has a better ERA than Gonzalez on the season, but th Giants have struggled so much offensively lately that I just don't trust them.  The Nats haven't been spectacular of late either, but I trust them more, especially since they're at home.
• Confidence: 70%
5. MLB:  Boston Red Sox
• The Red Sox struggled a bit in their last series, but have had good success against the Blue Jays, going 8 - 5 against them this season.  Dempster has stuggled lately as well, posting a 7.27 ERA over his last 5 starts, although the Red Sox did win all of those games.  The Blue Jays have lost 4 of their last 5 and are bringing up Todd Redmund from Triple-A.  The Red Sox are the favorites at -117.
• Confidence: 70%
6. MLB:  Cincinnati Reds
• Luckily for the Reds, the Cubs are one of the worst teams in the majors for scoring runs.  They have scored 2 or fewer runs in 37 games this season.  The Reds send Homer Bailey to the mound who has been nearly perfect at Wrigley Field, posting a 1.93 ERA in four straight wins there.  Samardzija had a truly awful game in his last start and I don't expect he'll have a drastic turnaround tomorrow.  The Reds beat the Cubs last night and are the favorites (-131) to do it again.
• Confidence: 75%
7. MLB: Cleveland Indians
• The Indians have really struggled lately, losing 7 of their last 8.  The Twins have been on a surge lately, but it's mostly due to great pitching, and nearly all of their runs have been scored via home runs.  I don't know how long that trend can continue, and I think the Indians are due for a win.  I'm not really confident about this one though.
• Confidence: 40%
8. MLB:  Kansas City Royals
• Kansas City beat Miami 6 - 2 last night in their first meeting of the season.  The Royals have won their last two while the Marlins have lost their last two.  The Royals are favorites at -130 and I just can't pick against them with Bruce Chen on the mound at home.  He is undefeated (5 - 0 ) with a 1.79 ERA on the season.
• Confidence: 75%
9. MLB:  Baltimore Orioles
• The O's lost game 1 of the season series between these two teams on a walk-off homer on the first pitch in the bottom of the ninth.  I really doubt they lost 2 in a row though.
• Confidence: 60%
10. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers
• This game features two great pitchers in Harvey and Ryu.  I expect this will be a low-scoring game, but I think the Dodgers have the edge as they are at home and lead the season series 3 - 1.  
• Confidence: 60%
11. MLB:  6 or more
• This is a tough prop and in reality could go either way.  6+ Ks means averages out to 1 K per pitcher per inning for innings 1 - 3.  Harvey has 178 Ks on the season and Ryu 118.  Just going by their last 3 games, each of these pitchers have averaged 1+ Ks per inning pitched.
• Confidence: 45%