SFTC Picks for Friday, August 16

Wouldn't you know it: the Nationals give up a three-run homer with two outs int the top of the ninth to lose the game yesterday.  Oh well.  We still had a pretty good day yesterday, especially with the NFL props.  We have most of the props listed here and will hopefully be able to post the rest later today.
  
Our top stash pick:

1. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers

Our picks for every prop:

1. Tennis:  Yes, 1+ tiebreaks played
• Djokovic and Isner have played 4 times in the last 4 years.  They played at least 1 tiebreak in each of those matches.  So if you're picking based on history alone, the 1+ tiebreaks option is the favorable pick.  Isner has already played a few tiebreaks in his run through this Western and Southern Open tournament.  Djokovic hasn't played any tiebreaks in this tournament, but he has had the easier draw.  I think Isner's big serve will keep him in the first set, especially because Djokovic tends to play slow in the first set.  
• Confidence: 65%
2. Golf:  Nick Watney or tie
• Watney shot a 72 and Els a 71 in round 1.  Previous rounds mean next to nothing in golf, and honestly I'm not very good at picking golf, but I think Watney can at least tie in this round.
• Confidence: 40%
3. Soccer:  
• Lyon is first in the current league standings and Sochaux 12th, though those don't mean too much because they have only played one league game so far.  In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, Sochaux has won or drawn 3 of those 5, including a 2 - 1 victory at Lyon in their latest match back in March.  Sochaux should at least draw at home, although Lyon has won the last few times they've been featured on SFTC.
• Confidence: 50%
4. MLB:  Los Angeles Dodgers
• The Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball right now, going 40 - 8 since early June.  The Phillies have been the complete opposite.  Cliff Lee has been great against the Dodgers, going 2 - 1 with a 1.40 ERA over his last 6 starts against them, but I really don't think his team has enough to pull off a victory against the Dodgers.  Greinke has been great as well, going 7 - 1 with a 2.49 ERA over his last ten starts.  I'm a little concerned that the Phillies are listed as the favorites at -102.  I don't get that.  Dodgers should be the clear favorites here.
• Confidence: 75%
5. NFL:  Buffalo Bills
• The Vikings lost their first preseason game to the Texans at home.  The Bills soundly beat the Colts on the road in their first game.  Honestly there's not too much to go off of for this game for me, I just think the Bills will get the win at home.
• Confidence: 50%
6. MLB:  Yes, Cabrera, Davis, or both hit a home run
• The Tigers play the Royals and the Orioles the Rockies today.  So Cabrera will face Danny Duffy whom he is 3 for 10 against over the last 5 years.  Chris Davis will face Juan Nicasio, whom he has never faced.  These two are clearly the MLB leading home run hitters, so hopefully at least one of them should get one tonight.  This is definitely not an easy green though.
• Confidence: 50%
7. MLB:  Red Sox win by 2+ runs
• The Red Sox lead the season series 6 - 3 and each of those wins was by 2+ except for the most recent.  They are heavily favored in this game (-181), and although they had a terrible road trip, they are back at home now and should turn things around. `
• Confidence: 65%