SFTC picks for Monday, Feb. 25

Well I was feeling pretty good about the Illinois WSDL pick today.  Illinois has been up and down this season though.  They seem to win games they shouldn't and lose games they should win.  I also didn't see that blowout by the Red Wings coming.  And the Bulls decided to not show up.  That's the nature of sports though, and what makes it so fun and so frustrating at the same time!

There are not a lot of easy greens tomorrow, but here are my top picks for tomorrow, and be sure and check out my other pages and give feedback.  I'd like to know if my picks and how I'm running the blog are helping you be successful!

Those picks marked with a * also appear on Streak It Up.

NCAAM:
1)  Villanova over Seton Hall
Reasons:  Villanova has had some great wins this season, their most recent coming against Marquette.  Seton Hall is definitely at the bottom of the Big East standings, having only won 2 games in conference play.  Villanova is favored by 5, but they should win by more than that.
Confidence: 80%

*2)  Syracuse over Marquette
Reasons:  Syracuse is clearly the better team, but they have proven that they are beatable and vulnerable, especially on the road.  I just don't think Marquette has enough fire power on offense to beat them, and I don't think they are quite good enough defensively to shut down Syracuse.  Especially if Syracuse gets out to an early lead, it will be hard for Marquette to come back, since they are terrible from downtown.  All this being said, Syracuse is only a 1 point favorite, so it may be worth staying away.
Confidence:  50%

NCAAW:
1)  Oklahoma 2nd half points or Tie 
Reasons:  Oklahoma averages 73 points per game, or about 36 per half.  Will Baylor beat them by more than that?  It's extremely unlikely.  Oklahoma also has a respectable 19 - 8 record, so they can't be that bad.
Confidence:  70%

NBA:
*1)  Atlanta over Detroit
Reasons:  Atlanta played well in their last win, and they have proven that they can beat Detroit.  Also good news for the Hawks is that Will Bynum is out for the Pistons, serving a 1 game suspension.  I like Atlanta's chances here, even though they are on the road.
Confidence:  50%

NHL: 
*1)  Anaheim Ducks
Reasons:  Besides the Chicago Blackhawks, no other team is having a better season than the Ducks.  They currently sit at 13-2-1, whereas the Kings are at 8-6-2.  The Kings will be at home, but it is a virtual home game for both teams.
Confidence:  60%

2)  Montreal Canadiens
Reasons:  The Canadiens seem to be money on SFTC.  They are a great defensive team, and Ottawa will most likely be without their starting goalie due to injury.  I don't know a ton about these teams, but I just know the Canadiens win more than the Senators when they are featured on SFTC.
Confidence:  40%

Soccer:
1)  Tottenham Hotspur Win
Reasons:  Remember when Bale for Tottenham scored in the 93rd minute to put Tottenham up by two and win that prop a couple weeks ago?  Bale is on fire right now, and Tottenham has done surprisingly well this season.  West Brom has shown that they can compete, but their recent form is not that good.
Confidence:  60%

2)  Udinese Win/Draw
Reasons:  Udinese has only lost 1 home game this year, at the hands of Juventus who leads the league table.  Napoli is second in the table currently and beat Udinese 2 - 1 at home earlier this year.  The draw option is slightly favored in this match as well, and it's hard to ignore Udinese's home record.  They have also recently beaten some the top teams in the league team at home.
Confidence:  40%

Tennis:
1)  17 games or fewer total games played
Reasons:  This tournament is not a major, so the match is the best of 3 sets, not the typical best of 5 sets.  In order for 18 games or more to win the prop, Federer would need to lose 6 games.  I just don't see that happening.  Federer is clearly in the top 3 in the world, and his opponent is something like 130th.  I think Federer loses at most 4 games, giving the under the easy win.
Confidence:  80%


I hope my picks help you in your quest of building the best streak of your life!  Please visit my other pages and refer your friends to my site.  I need your help to spread the word!  Thanks and good luck!