Saturday, February 16, 2013

My picks for Saturday, Feb. 16

All right!  A perfect 2 - 0 on my top picks yesterday!  Instead of giving just 2 picks a day, I will try and give my top 2 for each sport.  My goal is not to analyze every pick of the day, but to post what I believe are the best (most sure to win).

So for Saturday, my top picks are:

NCAAM
1)  Duke Winning Margin over Alex Len FGM.
           Reasons:  Alex Len averages just under 5 FGM per game.  Duke should easily cover that.  I
                              know Maryland is something like 14 - 2 at home, but Duke is finding their rythum, and I
                              think they have too much fire-power on offense. They have struggled on the road though.
          Confidence: 7/10

2)  Creighton DD Win
          Reasons:  Creighton beat Evansville by 17 at home earlier this season.  Creighton has lost some
                              games recently that they should not have lost, but I think Doug McDermott will have a
                              great game and get them back on track.
          Confidence:  5/10


NHL
1)  New Jersey Devils
          Reasons:  The Devils seem to be on a tear lately.  They have beaten the Islanders twice in NY and
                               lost to them once in OT at home.
          Confidence:  7/10
2)  Toronto Maple Leafs
          Reasons:  There are only 3 NHL props up tomorrow, so this is the one I feel best about.  Every
                               time I pick the Senators they seem to lose.
          Confidence:  4/10

There is only 1 soccer pick tomorrow.  If I had to pick, I'd probably pick Arsenal by 2+.  There is also only 1 golf prop.  I seem to get burned every time I pick golf.  Take this morning for example.  Webb Simpson had beaten Dustin Johnson by 5 strokes on holes 10 - 18 yesterday, and was even up by 3 strokes after the first hole today.  But somehow Johnson managed to birdie a few and Simpson bogeyed the last hole and Johnson won with the tie.  It seems to be a pattern on SFTC:  Never trust previous days' golf rounds.  Guys seem to do great one day and then have a terrible day the next day.

For Streak for the Cash: 
My blog posts pick history:

  • NCAAM: 0 - 0
  • NCAAW: 0 - 0
  • NBA: 0 - 0
  • NCAAF: 0 - 0
  • NFL: 0 - 0
  • NHL : 1 - 0
  • Soccer: 1 - 0
  • Golf: 0 - 0

My blog's YTD record:  2 - 0.

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